The Bills and Lions are set to clash in one of the most highly anticipated games of the regular season. The Lions are Super Bowl favorites, while the Bills hold the fourth-best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Both teams have excelled in critical matchups this season, with the Lions defeating the Vikings and Packers, and the Bills finally overcoming the Chiefs. Amon-Ra St. Brown has been a key factor in Detroit’s success.
St. Brown ranks 11th in receiving yards, fourth in receptions, and second in receiving touchdowns this season. The Lions boast the league’s third-best offensive EPA/dropback and the highest offensive success rate.
Their passing attack has been exceptional, striking a perfect balance with Jameson Williams as a deep threat and St. Brown as a reliable possession receiver.
Buffalo’s defense ranks 14th in EPA/dropback and 23rd in dropback success rate, while allowing the 24th-most completions per game.
With a top-10 run defense, opponents have leaned heavily on passing against the Bills. Buffalo’s offense, the league’s best, will force Detroit to keep up by aggressively attacking through the air.
Amon-Ra St. Brown’s over 6.5 receptions is my favorite prop bet. DraftKings Sportsbook offers this at plus-money. The Bills’ 23rd-ranked dropback success rate indicates a vulnerability to short, underneath passes, while Detroit’s league-best offensive dropback success rate suggests Jared Goff will find St. Brown consistently to sustain drives.
