Week 14 turned out fairly well for Detroit in terms of their postseason chances. Most notably, the Lions secured a win over the Dallas Cowboys, which boosted their playoff probability from roughly 25-30% to somewhere between 45-55%, depending on the model you reference. While they didn’t get much help from other teams—thanks to wins by the Seahawks and Rams—the Packers’ triumph over the Bears worked in Detroit’s favor. Now, the Lions are just one win away from clinching a postseason berth.

That’s the optimistic side. The more concerning part is that Week 15 could be tricky if the matchups play out as predicted. To set the stage, here’s a snapshot of the NFC playoff picture:

Detroit trails the 49ers and Bears by one game, sits a game-and-a-half behind the Packers, and is two games behind both the Rams and Seahawks. But, according to Vegas odds for Week 15 matchups, the Lions could potentially fall an extra game behind all five of these teams. Below is a breakdown of each matchup along with current probabilities, as listed by FanDuel:

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